Did the IEA guy talk about coal-to-liquid fuels and any risk their development poses to this analysis?

Or are the potential savings in ICE/hybrid vehicles so substantial that extra CO2 emissions from CTL fuels wouldn’t matter?

Personally, I think that at the time when people get to choose between an electric vehicle and an ICE-based vehicle, lots of them will think that the electric vehicle is cool and probably saves a lot of money, but darn it, which one is going to keep me warmer longer if I’m stuck out in the winter.

That’s not to say that all consumers are from some lonely little town in Canada, but I do think there’s just something that consumers feel comfortable with knowing there are little explosions going on under the hood.

In sum, I think by 2050, if electric cars can make that much contribution to CO2 reduction, it will be fantastic. The development of these vehicles, if anything like the timeline of the ICE, still needs a lot of work. And even when the technology is ready, it has to find its place in the minds and cultures of consumers, which is an even longer process.

It would be interesting to see how electric vehicle adoption compares over time with the adoption of the CF light bulb. Extra interesting to compare the same factors between “developed” and “Developing” markets.